Cross-strait relations
China |
Taiwan |
---|
Cross-strait relations | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Traditional Chinese | 兩岸關係 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Simplified Chinese | 两岸关系 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Chinese name | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Traditional Chinese | 海峽兩岸關係 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Simplified Chinese | 海峡两岸关系 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Second alternative Chinese name | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Traditional Chinese | 臺海關係 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Simplified Chinese | 台海关系 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Literal meaning | Taiwan Strait relations | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Third alternative Chinese name | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Traditional Chinese | 陸臺關係 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Simplified Chinese | 陆台关系 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Literal meaning | Mainland–Taiwan relations | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fourth alternative Chinese name | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Traditional Chinese | 中臺關係 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Simplified Chinese | 中台关系 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Literal meaning | China–Taiwan relations | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Cross-strait relations (sometimes called Mainland–Taiwan relations,[1] China–Taiwan relations or Taiwan–China relations[2]) are the political and economic relations between China (officially the People's Republic of China or PRC) and Taiwan (officially the Republic of China or ROC) across the Taiwan Strait. Due to the existing controversy over the status of Taiwan, they are also not defined as diplomatic relations by both sides.
The relationship has been complex and controversial due to the dispute regarding the political status of Taiwan after the island's administration was transferred from Japan to the Republic of China in 1945, and the split between the PRC and ROC in 1949 as a result of the ROC's retreat to the island after losing the Chinese Civil War. The essential questions are whether the two governments are still in a state of civil war over One China, each holding one of two "regions" or parts of the same country (i.e. "one nation, two states"); whether they can be unified under a "one country, two systems" framework; or whether they are now separate countries (either as Two Chinas, or as "one China, one Taiwan"). The English expression "cross-strait relations" is considered to be a neutral term that avoids reference to the political status of either side.
After the Japanese surrender at the end of the Second World War in 1945, the administration of Taiwan was transferred from the Empire of Japan (who had annexed Taiwan as a spoil of war through the First Sino-Japanese War) to the Republic of China, who was one of the "Big Four" of Allied Nations, although questions remain regarding the legal language used in the Treaty of San Francisco. In 1949, with the Chinese Civil War turning decisively in favor of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), the Republic of China Government led by the Nationalist Party of China (Kuomintang, or KMT) evacuated to Taiwan and established a provisional capital in Taipei, while still claiming to be the legitimate government of all of China. The CCP proclaimed the establishment of the Central People's Government with Beijing as the capital, and the People's Liberation Army (PLA) subsequently conquered and quelled all of mainland China, although the disastrous landing attempt at Kinmen, the unexpected outbreak of the Korean War and the subsequent American involvement halted any further plans to invade Taiwan. The two sides then entered decades of stalemate and de facto ceasefire with sporadic episodes of naval skirmishes and island shellings, but no armistice or peace treaty has ever been signed, and debate continues as to whether the civil war has legally ended.[3]
Since then, the relations between the governments in Beijing and Taipei have been characterized by limited contact, tensions, and instability. In the early years, military conflicts continued, while diplomatically both governments competed to be the "legitimate government of China". Since the democratization of Taiwan, the question regarding the political and legal status of Taiwan has shifted focus to the choice between political unification with the mainland or de jure Taiwanese independence. The PRC remains hostile to any formal declaration of independence and maintains its claim over Taiwan, citing its status as the only internationally recognized government of all of China since the United Nations General Assembly Resolution 2758 in 1971.
At the same time, non-governmental and semi-governmental exchanges between the two sides have increased. In 2008, negotiations began to restore the Three Links (postal, transportation, trade) between the two sides, which were cut off since 1949. Diplomatic contact between the two sides has generally been limited to Kuomintang officials on Taiwan, who were the main proponents of the 1992 Consensus, and cross-strait treaties such as ECFA and CSSTA were signed during KMT administrations. Even during Democratic Progressive Party administrations, who were supporters of "one country on each side" and considered by many in China to be outright separatists, negotiations continue to occur on practical matters through informal channels.[citation needed]
In 2024, newly elected Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te said in his inaugural speech "Republic of China Taiwan is a sovereign, independent nation in which sovereignty lies in the hands of the people".[4] In response, the mainland reinstated tariffs on 134 items from Taiwan previously covered under ECFA,[5] and conducted live-fire joint military exercises around the island, raising concerns of large-scale armed conflict.[6]
The administration of cross-strait relations of both sides are independent from the official diplomatic system. The Taiwanese government established the Mainland Affairs Council led by the Executive Yuan, and China established the Taiwan Affairs Office in both the State Council and the CCP. The communication between both sides are through two semi-official institutions: Straits Exchange Foundation by the ROC side, and the Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Straits by the PRC side.
Country comparison
[edit]Common name | China | Taiwan |
---|---|---|
Official name | People's Republic of China (PRC) | Republic of China (ROC) |
Capital | Beijing | Taipei |
Largest city | Shanghai | New Taipei City |
Government | Unitary Marxist–Leninist one–party socialist state | Unitary semi-presidential republic |
Population | 1.4 billion | 23 million |
Current leader (political party) | Xi Jinping (Chinese Communist Party) | Lai Ching-te (Democratic Progressive Party) |
Official language | Chinese (Standard) written in simplified characters | Chinese (Standard) written in traditional characters |
History
[edit]Timeline
[edit]Leaders of the two governments
Before 1949
[edit]The early history of cross-strait relations involved the exchange of cultures, people, and technology.[7][8][9] However, no Chinese dynasty formally incorporated Taiwan in ancient times.[10] In the 16th and 17th centuries, Taiwan first caught the attention of Portuguese, then Dutch and Spanish explorers. After establishing their first settlement in Taiwan in 1624, the Dutch were defeated in 1662 by Koxinga (Zheng Chenggong), a Ming dynasty loyalist, who took the island and established the first formally Han Chinese regime in Taiwan. Koxinga's heirs used Taiwan as a base for launching raids into mainland China against the Manchu Qing dynasty, before being defeated in 1683 by Qing forces. Taiwan was incorporated into Fujian Province in 1684.
With other powers increasingly eyeing Taiwan for its strategic location and resources in the 19th century, the administration began to implement a modernization drive.[11] In 1887, Fujian-Taiwan Province was declared by Imperial decree. However, the fall of the Qing outpaced the development of Taiwan, and in 1895, following its defeat in the First Sino-Japanese War, the Imperial government ceded Taiwan to Japan in perpetuity. Qing loyalists briefly resisted Japanese rule under the banner of the "Republic of Formosa" but were quickly put down by Japanese authorities.[12]
Japan ruled Taiwan until 1945. As part of the Japanese Empire, Taiwan was a foreign jurisdiction in relation to the Qing dynasty until 1912, and then to the Republic of China for the remainder of Japanese rule. From 1928 to 1942, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) maintained that Taiwan was a separate nation.[13] In a 1937 interview with Edgar Snow, Mao Zedong stated, "we will extend them (the Koreans) our enthusiastic help in their struggle for independence. The same thing applies for Taiwan."[14]
In 1945, Japan was defeated in World War II and surrendered its forces in Taiwan to the Allies; the ROC, then ruled by the Kuomintang (KMT), took custody of the island. The period of post-war KMT rule over China (1945–1949) was marked by conflict in Taiwan between local residents and the new KMT authority. The Taiwanese rebelled on 28 February 1947, but the uprising was violently suppressed by the KMT. The seeds of the Taiwan independence movement were sown during this period.
China was soon engulfed in full-scale civil war. In 1949, the conflict turned decisively against the KMT in favor of the CCP. On 1 October 1949, CCP Chairman Mao Zedong proclaimed the founding of the People's Republic of China (PRC) in Beijing. The ROC government retreated to Taiwan, eventually declaring Taipei its temporary capital in December 1949.[15]
Military stalemate to diplomatic war (1949–1979)
[edit]Kuomintang's retreat
[edit]In June 1949, the ROC declared a "closure" of all Chinese ports, and its navy attempted to intercept all foreign ships. The closure covered area from a point north of the mouth of Min river in Fujian Province to the mouth of the Liao River in Manchuria.[16] Since China's railroad network was underdeveloped, north–south trade depended heavily on sea lanes. ROC naval activity caused severe hardship for Chinese fishermen.
The two governments continued in a state of war until 1979. In October 1949, the PRC's attempt to take the ROC-controlled island of Kinmen was thwarted in the Battle of Kuningtou, halting the advance of the PLA towards Taiwan.[17] In the Battle of Dengbu Island on 3 November 1949, the ROC forces repulsed their PRC counterparts but were later forced to retreat after the PRC established air superiority.[18] The ROC government also launched a number of air bombing raids into key coastal cities of China such as Shanghai.[19] Other PRC amphibious operations conducted in 1950 were more successful. They led to the Communist conquest of Hainan Island in April 1950, along with the capture of Wanshan Islands off the Guangdong coast (May–August 1950) and of Zhoushan Island off Zhejiang (May 1950).[20] Additional PRC successes included the Battle of Dongshan Island on 11 May 1950, as well as the Battle of Nanpeng Island in September and October of the same year. However, the ROC won the Battle of Nanri Island in 1952 with United States support. In 1953 the communists won the Battle of Nanpeng Archipelago, the Battle of Dalushan Islands and the Dongshan Island Campaign.
After the ROC lost the mainland, a group of approximately 12,000 KMT soldiers escaped to Burma and continued launching guerrilla attacks into southern China during the early 1950s.[21] The ROC paid a salary to the guerrilla leader General Li Mi and issued him the nominal title "Governor of Yunnan". Initially the U.S. supported these remnants, and the Central Intelligence Agency provided aid. After the Burmese government appealed to the United Nations in 1953, the U.S. began pressuring the ROC to withdraw its loyalists. By the end of 1954, nearly 6,000 soldiers left Burma, and Li Mi declared his army disbanded. However, thousands of guerrilla fighters remained, and the ROC continued to supply and command them, even secretly supplying reinforcements. In northwestern China during the 1950s and 1960s, the Kuomintang Islamic insurgency led by Muslim Kuomintang army officers continued fighting, refusing to surrender to the PRC.[citation needed]
Korean War and Taiwan Strait Crises
[edit]Most observers expected Chiang's government to eventually fall in response to a Communist invasion of Taiwan, and the U.S. initially showed no interest in supporting Chiang's government in its final stand. Things changed radically with the onset of the Korean War in June 1950. At this point, it became politically impossible in the U.S. to allow a total Communist victory over Chiang, so President Harry S. Truman ordered the U.S. Seventh Fleet into the Taiwan Strait to prevent the ROC and PRC from attacking each other.[22] The U.S. fleet hindered the Communist invasion of Taiwan, and the PRC decided to send troops to Korea in October 1950.[23] The ROC proposed participation in the Korean War but was rejected.[24] During the Korean War, some captured Communist Chinese soldiers, many of whom were originally KMT soldiers, were repatriated to Taiwan rather than China.[25][26][27]
Though viewed as a military liability by the United States, the ROC viewed its remaining islands in Fujian as vital for any future campaign to defeat the PRC and retake China. On 3 September 1954, the First Taiwan Strait Crisis began when the PLA started shelling Kinmen and threatened to take the Dachen Islands.[16] On 20 January 1955, the PLA took nearby Yijiangshan Island, with the entire ROC garrison of 720 troops killed or wounded defending the island. On 24 January, the U.S. Congress passed the Formosa Resolution authorizing the President to defend the ROC's offshore islands.[16] The First Taiwan Strait Crisis ended in March 1955 when the PLA ceased its bombardment. The crisis was brought to a close during the Bandung conference.[16] At the conference, the PRC articulated its Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence with Premier Zhou Enlai publicly stating, "[T]he Chinese people do not want to have a war with the United States. The Chinese government is willing to sit down to discuss the question of relaxing tension in the Far East, and especially the question of relaxing tension in the Taiwan area."[28] Two years of negotiations with the U.S. followed, although no agreement was reached on the Taiwan issue.[28]
The Second Taiwan Strait Crisis began on 23 August 1958 with air and naval engagements between the PRC and the ROC military forces, leading to intense artillery bombardment of Kinmen (by the PRC) and Xiamen (by the ROC), and ended in November of the same year.[16] PLA patrol boats blockaded the islands from ROC supply ships. Though the U.S. rejected Chiang Kai-shek's proposal to bomb Chinese artillery batteries, it quickly moved to supply fighter jets and anti-aircraft missiles to the ROC. It also provided amphibious assault ships to land supply, as a sunken ROC naval vessel was blocking the harbor. On 7 September, the U.S. escorted a convoy of ROC supply ships, and the PRC refrained from firing. On 25 October, the PRC announced an "even-day ceasefire"—the PLA would only shell Kinmen on odd-numbered days.
After the 1950s, the "war" became more symbolic than real, represented by on again, off again artillery bombardment towards and from Kinmen. In later years, live shells were replaced with propaganda sheets.[29] The ROC once initiated Project National Glory, a plan to retake mainland China.[30] The project failed in the 1960s,[31] and the bombardment finally ceased after the establishment of diplomatic relations between the PRC and the United States.[29] The PRC and the ROC have never signed any agreement or treaty to officially end the war.[32] There were occasional defectors from both sides.[33][34]
This section needs additional citations for verification. (June 2024) |
Until the 1970s, the ROC had international recognition from most countries.[35]: 228 The PRC government was recognized by Soviet Bloc countries, members of the Non-Aligned Movement, and some Western nations such as the United Kingdom and the Netherlands. Both governments claimed to be the legitimate government of China, labeling the other as illegitimate. Civil war propaganda permeated the educational curriculum. Each side portrayed people of the other as living in hell-like misery. In official media, each side called the other "bandits". The ROC also suppressed expressions of support for Taiwanese identity or Taiwan independence.[citation needed]
The ROC represented China at the United Nations until 1971, when the PRC obtained the UN seat.[35]: 228
Thawing of relations (1979–1998)
[edit]After the United States formally recognized the PRC and broke its official relations with the ROC in 1979, the PRC under the leadership of Deng Xiaoping shifted its strategy from liberating Taiwan to peaceful unification.[36][37] The PRC moderated its rhetoric, referring to the "Taiwan authorities" instead of "Chiang's clique" and "peaceful reunification" instead of "liberating Taiwan."[35]: 228 In the 1 January 1979 "New Year's Day Message to Taiwan Compatriots," the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC) stated that the PRC would "take present realities into account in accomplishing the great cause of reunifying the motherland and respect the status quo on Taiwan and the opinions of people in all walks of life there and adopt reasonable policies and measures in settling the question of reunification so as not to cause the people of Taiwan any losses."[35]: 228
Deng proposed a model for the incorporation of Taiwan into the PRC which involved a high degree of autonomy within the Chinese state, similar to the model proposed to Hong Kong which would eventually become one country, two systems. Consistent with Deng's one country, two systems approach, NPC Standing Committee Chair Ye Jianying elaborated on peaceful unification under per his 30 September 1981 "Nine Points Proposal" in which Taiwan would have a high degree of autonomy following unification.[35]: 228 The Nine Points Proposal also talked of trade, transportation, and postal services as "three links" across the strait and "four exchanges" in the areas of culture, academics, economics, and sports.[35]: 228
The ROC government under Chiang Ching-kuo maintained a Three Noes policy of no contact, no negotiation and no compromise to deal with the PRC government.[38]: 11 However, Chiang was forced to break from this policy during the May 1986 hijacking of a China Airlines cargo plane,[38]: 11 in which the Taiwanese pilot subdued other members of the crew and flew the plane to Guangzhou. In response, Chiang sent delegates to Hong Kong to discuss with PRC officials the return of the plane and crew, which was seen as a turning point in cross-strait relations.[39][40]
In 1987, Chiang became willing to open up cross-strait economic and cultural contacts.[35]: 229 That year, the ROC government began allowing visits to China. This benefited many, especially old KMT soldiers, who had been separated from their families in China for decades.[41][42] This catalyzed a thawing of relations between the two sides, but problems arising from increased contact necessitated a mechanism for regular negotiations. From the end of 1987 to June 1995, the two sides frequently exchanged envoys to develop formal and informal institutions and agencies for cross-strait relations.[35]: 229
In 1988, a guideline was approved by PRC to encourage ROC investments in the PRC.[43][44] It guaranteed that ROC establishments would not be nationalized, exports would be free from tariffs, and ROC businessmen would be granted multiple visas for easy movement.
In 1990, under the presidency of Lee Teng-hui, the National Unification Council was established in Taiwan.[37] The following year, the Guidelines for National Unification were adopted, and the period of mobilization for the suppression of Communist rebellion was terminated. Seeking to negotiate with China on operational issues without affirming the other side's legitimacy, the ROC government created the Straits Exchange Foundation (SEF),[35]: 229 a nominally non-governmental institution directly led by the Mainland Affairs Council (MAC), an instrument of the Executive Yuan in 1991. The PRC established the Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Straits (ARATS),[35]: 229 directly led by the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council. This system, described as "white gloves", allowed the two governments to engage with each other on a semi-official basis without compromising their respective sovereignty policies.[45]
On 1 August 1992, the ROC's National Unification Council passed the "Definition of One China Resolution," stating: "The two sides of the Taiwan Strait uphold the One China principle, but the interpretations of the two sides are different ... Our side believes that one China should mean the Republic of China, established in 1912 and existing today, and its sovereignty extends throughout China, but its current governing authority is only over Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen, and Matzu. Admittedly, Taiwan is part of China, but the mainland is also a part of China."[35]: 229
This resolution became the basis for quasi-governmental negotiations between SEF and ARATS from October to November 1992.[35]: 229 Led by Koo Chen-fu and Wang Daohan, these talks culminated in the 1993 Wang–Koo summit. Both sides agreed to confer ambiguity on questions of sovereignty in order to engage on operational questions affecting both sides.[46] The ambiguity of the 1992 Consensus allowed the PRC to emphasize that both sides of the strait upheld the position of one China and allowed the ROC to emphasize that it was the one China to which both the mainland and Taiwan belonged.[35]: 230 This facilitated the improvement of cross-strait relations in the early 1990s.[35]: 230
Nevertheless, the rhetoric of ROC President Lee Teng-hui began turning further towards Taiwan independence.[47] Prior to the 1990s, the ROC had been a one-party authoritarian state committed to eventual unification with China. However, democratic reforms reshaped attitudes of the general public, which in turn began influencing policy in Taiwan. As a result, the ROC government shifted away from its commitment to One China and towards a separate political identity for Taiwan.
In January 1995, Jiang Zemin announced the PRC's "Eight-Point Proposal" discussing a gradual process of cross-strait rapprochement and negotiation leading to eventual unification.[35]: 231 The Eight-Point Proposal emphasized maintaining the status quo, facilitating economic exchanges and the "three links" (trade, transportation, and postal services), and seeking to deter Taiwan from separating from the mainland.[35]: 231 As long as Taiwan was committed to the One China principle, than the PRC stated that it would consider Taiwan concerns like renouncing the use of force or treating the Taipei government as an equal political entity.[35]: 231
In 1995, Lee visited the United States and delivered a speech to an invited audience at Cornell University.[48] In response to Taiwan's diplomatic moves, the PRC postponed the second Wang–Koo summit indefinitely.[49] The PLA attempted to influence the 1996 Taiwanese presidential election by conducting a missile exercise, leading to the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis.[50][51] Following the crisis and the growing influence of a pro-independence element in Taiwan politics, the PRC increased its focus on modernizing its military to deter Taiwan independence and deter U.S.-involvement.[35]: 231
Hostile non-contact (1998–2008)
[edit]In May 1998, the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party convened a Work Conference on Taiwan Affairs which stated that the whole party and the whole nation should work together for peaceful unification.[38]: 11 The next month, the ARATS and the SEF resumed contact and the second Wang–Koo summit was held in Shanghai, China.[52] Jiang also received the Taiwanese representatives in Beijing.
While Wang Daohan's return visit to Taiwan was scheduled, Lee Teng-hui described cross-strait relations as "state-to-state or at least special state-to-state relations" in July 1999.[53] Lee's two-states theory postponed Wang's visit indefinitely and the PRC issued a white paper entitled "The One-China Principle and the Taiwan Issue" in February 2000, before the 2000 Taiwanese presidential election.[54] In the white paper, the PRC warned against conduct it would view as separatism and stated that the PRC would consider the use of force if Taiwan sought to indefinitely avoid meaningful talks with the PRC.[35]: 231
Chen Shui-bian of the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) was elected President of the ROC in 2000. Before the KMT handed over power to the DPP, chairman of the Mainland Affairs Council Su Chi suggested a new term 1992 Consensus as a common point that was acceptable to both sides so that Taiwan and China could keep up cross-strait exchanges.[55] Chen expressed some willingness to accept the 1992 Consensus, but backed down after backlash within his own party.[56] In his inaugural speech, Chen Shui-bian pledged to the Four Noes and One Without, in particular, promising to seek neither independence nor unification as well as rejecting the concept of special state-to-state relations expressed by his predecessor, Lee Teng-hui, as well as establishing the Three Mini-Links. Furthermore, he pursued a policy of normalizing economic relations with the PRC.[57] The PRC did not engage Chen's administration, but meanwhile in 2001 Chen lifted the 50-year ban on direct trade and investment with the PRC.[58][59] In November 2001, Chen repudiated "One China" and called for talks without preconditions.[60] On 3 August 2002, Chen defined the cross-strait relations as One Country on Each Side (namely, that China and Taiwan are two different countries). The PRC subsequently cut off official contact with the ROC government.[61]
Hu Jintao became General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party in late 2002, succeeding Jiang as top leader of the PRC.[35]: 233 Hu urged Taiwan's DPP administration to resume cross-strait dialogue on the basis of the 1992 Consensus.[35]: 233 The PRC also continued applying diplomatic pressure to other nations to isolate the ROC diplomatically.[62] However, during the 2003 Iraq war, the PRC allowed Taiwanese airlines use of China's airspace.[63]
After the re-election of Chen Shui-bian in 2004, Hu's government changed the previous blanket no-contact policy, a holdover from the Jiang Zemin administration. Under the new policy, on the one hand, the PRC government continued a no-contact policy towards Chen Shui-bian. It maintained its military build-up against Taiwan, and pursued a vigorous policy of isolating Taiwan diplomatically.[citation needed] In March 2005, the 10th National People's Congress passed the Anti-Secession Law authorizing military force for unification.[64]
On the other hand, the PRC administration pursued contact with apolitical, or politically non-independence leaning, groups in Taiwan. In his May 17 Statement in 2004, Hu Jintao made friendly overtures to Taiwan on resuming negotiations for the "Three Links", reducing misunderstandings, and increasing consultation.[citation needed] However, the Anti-Secession Law was passed in 2005, which was not well received in Taiwan. The CCP increased contacts on a party-to-party basis with the KMT,[65]: 138 then the opposition party in Taiwan, due to their support for the One China principle. The increased contacts culminated in the 2005 Pan-Blue visits to China, including a meeting between Hu and then-KMT chairman Lien Chan in April 2005.[66][67] It was the first meeting between the leaders of the two parties since the end of the Chinese Civil War in 1949.[68][69][70]
Resumption of high level contact (2008–2016)
[edit]Inauguration of Ma Ying-jeou
[edit]In 2008, the KMT won a large majority in the legislative election and its candidate Ma Ying-jeou won the following Taiwanese presidential election on 22 March.[71] Ma advocated that cross-strait relations should shift from "mutual non-recognition" to "mutual non-denial".[72] He stated that the relations are neither between two Chinas nor two states. It is a special relationship.[73] Cross-strait cooperation increased during Ma's tenure.[74] During Ma's administration, the two sides signed 23 agreements and held eleven high-level talks.[75]: 125
Both Hu Jintao and his new counterpart, Ma Ying-jeou, considered the 1992 Consensus to be the basis for negotiations between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait. On 26 March 2008, Hu Jintao held a telephone talk with the U.S. President George W. Bush, in which he explained that the "1992 Consensus" shows that "both sides recognize there is only one China, but agree to differ on its definition".[76][77][78] There followed a series of meetings between the two sides. On 12 April 2008, Hu Jintao held a meeting with ROC's then vice-president elect Vincent Siew as chairman of the Cross-Straits Common Market Foundation during the Boao Forum for Asia.[79] On 28 May 2008, Hu met with the KMT chairman Wu Po-hsiung, the first meeting between the heads of the CCP and the KMT as ruling parties.[80] During this meeting, Hu and Wu agreed that both sides should recommence semi-official dialogue under the 1992 Consensus.[81][82]
Cross-strait high-level talks between the ARATS and the SEF reopened in June 2008, with the first meeting held in Beijing. On 13 June, President of the ARATS, Chen Yunlin, and President of the SEF, Chiang Pin-kung, signed files agreeing that direct flights between the two sides would begin on 4 July,[83] and that Taiwan would allow entrance of up to 3,000 visitors from China daily.[84] The first direct flights took off on 15 December 2008.[85] On 31 December 2008, Hu stated that both sides of the strait should "make pragmatic explorations in their political relations under the special circumstances where the country has not yet been unified."[35]: 334
The financial relationship between the two areas improved on 1 May 2009 in a move described as "a major milestone" by The Times.[86] The ROC's financial regulator, the Financial Supervisory Commission, announced that Chinese investors would be permitted to invest in Taiwan's money markets for the first time since 1949. Investors can apply to purchase Taiwan shares that do not exceed one tenth of the value of the firm's total shares. The move came as part of a "step by step" movement designed to relax restrictions on Chinese investment. Taipei economist Liang Chi-yuan commented: "Taiwan's risk factor as a flash point has dropped significantly with its improved ties with Chinese. The Chinese would be hesitant about launching a war as their investment increases here."
From military aspect, a report in 2010 from Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense said that China's charm offensive is only accommodating on issues that do not undermine China's claim to Taiwan and that the PRC would invade if Taiwan declared independence, developed weapons of mass destruction, or suffered from civil chaos.[citation needed] President Ma has called repeatedly for the PRC to dismantle the missile batteries targeted on Taiwan's cities, without result.[citation needed] Ma also called on the PRC to embrace Sun Yat-sen's call for freedom and democracy.[citation needed]
In June 2013, China offered 31 new measures to improve Taiwan's economic integration with the mainland.[87]
In October 2013, in a hotel lobby on the sidelines of the APEC Indonesia 2013 meetings, Wang Yu-chi, Minister of the Mainland Affairs Council, spoke briefly with Zhang Zhijun, Minister of the Taiwan Affairs Office, each addressing the other by his official title. Both called for the establishment of a regular dialogue mechanism between their two agencies. Zhang also invited Wang to visit China.[88][89] The two ministers met in Nanjing on 11 February 2014, in the first official, high-level, government-to-government contact between the two sides since 1949.[90][91][92][93] During the meeting, Wang and Zhang agreed on establishing a direct and regular communication channel. They also agreed on finding a solution for health insurance coverage for Taiwanese students studying in mainland China, on pragmatically establishing SEF and ARATS offices in their respective territories, and on studying the feasibility of allowing visits to detained persons once these offices had been established. Zhang visited Taiwan between 25 and 28 June 2014, becoming the first ministerial-level PRC official to do so.[94]
In 2014, the Sunflower Student Movement broke out. Citizens occupied the Taiwanese Legislative Yuan for 23 days, protesting against the government's forcing through the Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement. The protesters felt that the trade pact with China would leave Taiwan vulnerable to political pressure from Beijing.[95] The agreement ended up unratified in the legislature.[96] In September 2014, Xi Jinping adopted a more uncompromising stance than his predecessors as he called for the "one country, two systems" model to be applied to Taiwan.[97] It was noted that the model had not been mentioned by the PRC since 2005, when the Anti-Secession Law was passed.[98]
On 7 November 2015, Xi and Ma met and shook hands in Singapore, marking the first meeting between leaders of the two sides since the end of the Chinese Civil War in 1949.[99][100] They met within their capacity as "Leader of Mainland China" and "Leader of Taiwan" respectively and addressed each other as "mister".[35]: 236 No major agreements were reached on the occasion, however, a hotline connecting the head of the Mainland Affairs Council and the head of the Taiwan Affairs Office was established at the end of 2015.[101][102]
In January 2016, the opposition DPP won the Taiwanese presidential election.[103] In the transition to a new administration, the ROC Justice Minister Luo Ying-shay embarked on a 5-day historic visit to mainland China in March, making her the first minister of the Government of the Republic of China to visit the mainland after the end of the Chinese Civil War in 1949.[104]
Deteriorating relations (2016–present)
[edit]In the 2016 Taiwan general elections, Tsai Ing-wen and the DPP captured landslide victories.[105] Tsai initially pursued a similar strategy as Chen Shui-bian, but after winning the election she received a similarly frosty reception from the PRC.[106][107][108] On 12 March 2016, Xi stated that the 1992 Consensus was "the greatest common denominator and political bottom line for the peaceful development of cross-strait relations".[38]: 13
In her inauguration speech, President Tsai acknowledged that the talks surrounding the 1992 Consensus took place without agreeing that a consensus was reached. She credited the talks with spurring 20 years of dialogue and exchange between the two sides. She hoped that exchanges would continue on the basis of these historical facts, as well as the existence of the Republic of China's constitutional system and the democratic will of the Taiwanese people.[109] In response, Beijing called Tsai's answer an "incomplete test paper" because Tsai did not agree to the content of the 1992 Consensus.[107] On 25 June 2016, Beijing suspended official cross-strait communications,[110] with any remaining cross-strait exchanges thereafter taking place through unofficial channels.[111]
The Tsai administration blocked former President Ma Ying-jeou from visiting Hong Kong,[112][113][114] but eight non-DPP magistrates and mayors from Taiwan visited Beijing in 2016.[115][116][117] Their visit was aimed to reset and restart cross-strait relations after Tsai took office. The eight local leaders reiterated their support of One China under the 1992 Consensus.
On 10 October 2016 (the ROC's National Day), Tsai stated the New Four Noes: "our pledges will not change, and our goodwill will not change; but we will not bow to pressure, and we will of course not revert to the old path of confrontation".[118]: 66
In November 2016, the People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) made its first circumnavigation around Taiwan.[118]: 67
In October 2017, Tsai Ing-wen expressed hopes that both sides would restart their cross-strait relations after the 19th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, and argued that new practices and guidelines governing mutual interaction should be examined.[119][120] However, Xi Jinping emphasized the PRC's sovereignty over Taiwan in his opening speech at the 19th National Congress.[121] At the same time, he offered the chance for open talks and "unobstructed exchanges" with Taiwan as long as the government moved to accept the 1992 Consensus.[121][122] Xi stated that people from Taiwan could receive national treatment in pursuing careers on the mainland and in February 2018 the PRC government announced 31 preferential policies for Taiwan people on matters of industry, finance, taxation, land use, employment, education, and health care.[38]: 13 Among other measures, beginning 1 September 2018 Taiwan people who live on the mainland for six months and have stable jobs are eligible to obtain residence permits.[38]: 13–14 By the end of February 2018, 24 provinces and 72 cities had introduced preferential policies for people from Taiwan.[118]: 72
Beginning in the mid-to-late 2010s, Beijing has significantly restricted the number of Chinese tour groups allowed to visit Taiwan in order to place pressure upon President Tsai Ing-wen.[123] Apart from Taiwan, the Holy See and Palau have also been pressured to recognize the PRC over the ROC.[124] China was also accused of conducting hybrid warfare against Taiwan.[125][126] ROC political leaders, including President Tsai and Premier William Lai, as well as international media outlets, have repeatedly accused the PRC of spreading fake news via social media to create divisions in Taiwanese society and influence voters.[127][128][129][130]
In a January 2019 speech commemorating the 40th anniversary of the "Message to Compatriots in Taiwan," Xi Jinping called for "peaceful reunification with Taiwan" in accordance with the "One China principle" and the 1992 Consensus.[35]: 240 In Xi's view, the Taiwan issue emerged from China's weakness dating back to the Opium Wars and after World War II, the "two sides of the Taiwan straits fell into a special state of protracted political confrontation due to the civil war in China and the interferences of foreign forces."[35]: 240–241
In response, Tsai emphasized that she has never accepted the 1992 Consensus.[131] Tsai made a shift from not publicly accepting the 1992 Consensus to directly rejecting it, stating that there's no need to talk about the 1992 Consensus anymore, because this term has already been defined by Beijing as "one country, two systems."[132] Tsai, who supported the 2019–20 Hong Kong protests, pledged that as long as she is Taiwan's president, she will never accept the "one country, two systems."[133] In January 2020, re-elected Tsai Ing-wen argued that Taiwan already was an independent country called the "Republic of China (Taiwan)", further arguing that the mainland Chinese authorities had to recognize that situation.[134]
The Taiwanese public turned further against mainland China, due to fallout from the Hong Kong protests and also due to the PRC's continued determination to keep the ROC out of the World Health Organization during the COVID-19 pandemic.[135] The opposition KMT also appeared to distance itself from the Chinese mainland in 2020, stating it would review its unpopular advocacy of closer ties with the PRC. In March 2021, KMT chairman Johnny Chiang rejected "one country, two systems" as a feasible model for Taiwan, citing Beijing's response to protests in Hong Kong as well as the value that Taiwanese place in political freedoms.[136]
The Hong Kong Economic, Trade and Cultural Office in Taiwan suspended its operation indefinitely in 2021, followed by the Macau Economic and Cultural Office.[137] In October 2021, Tsai stated in her National Day speech that Taiwanese people would not be forced to "bow" down to mainland Chinese pressure, and said that Taiwan would keep bolstering its defenses.[138] The PRC denounced Tsai's speech as "incited confrontation and distorted facts", and added that seeking Taiwanese independence was closing doors to dialogue.[139] Following a ban on the importation of pineapples from Taiwan and wax apples in 2021, the Chinese government banned the import of grouper fish in June 2022, claiming they had found banned chemicals and excessive levels of other substances.[140][141]
On 2 August 2022, U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan. China perceived her visit as a violation of its sovereign rights on Taiwan, and the PLA announced it would conduct live-fire exercises in six zones surrounding Taiwan from 4 to 7 August.[142][143] The live-fire drills were unprecedented in recent history[143] and took place in zones that surrounded the island's busiest territorial waters and airspace.[144][145] The military exercises involved the usage of live-fire ammunition, air assets, naval deployments, and ballistic missile launches by the PLA.[146] In response, Taiwan deployed ships and aircraft. No military conflict came of this, although it greatly increased tensions between the two countries. China announced an end to the exercises on 10 August, but also stated that regular "patrols" would be launched in the Taiwan Strait.[147][148]
On 10 August 2022, the PRC's Taiwan Affairs Office and the State Council Information Office jointly published the first white paper about Taiwan's status since 2000 called "The Taiwan Question and China's Reunification in the New Era". In it, the PRC urged again for Taiwan to unify under the "one country, two systems" formula. Notably, the white paper did not contain a previous line stating that no troops would be sent to Taiwan after unification. In response, Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council said the white paper was "wishful thinking and disregarding facts".[149]
Another set of military exercises began on 8 April 2023, after president Tsai visited U.S. Speaker Kevin McCarthy in California.[150][151][152] Beijing called this operation the "Joint Sword". Taiwan reportedly spotted 70 aircraft and 11 ships from China. On the first day of the military exercises, one of the Chinese vessels discharged a shot while sailing near Pingtan Island – the nearest point between China and Taiwan.[153]
Taiwan's prosecutions of Chinese espionage cases spiked in 2023, reaching 16 throughout the year. From 2013 to 2019, the Ministry of Justice Investigation Bureau registered 44 espionage cases by China.[154] In September 2024, China sentenced a Taiwanese person to nine years in prison on "separatism" charges.[155] According to the Mainland Affairs Council, this was the first instance of a Taiwanese person incarcerated on such charges.[155]
President Xi requested that President Biden change U.S. language to explicitly oppose Taiwan independence, but the U.S. maintains its current stance, affirming its "One China" policy without altering its wording.[156]
In October 2024 American drone maker Skydio was sanctioned by China after its products were approved for use by fire departments in Taiwan. The Chinese government forbade components suppliers and other businesses in China from doing business with Skydio.[157]
Semi-official relations
[edit]Semi-governmental contact is maintained through the Straits Exchange Foundation (SEF) and the Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Straits (ARATS). Although formally privately constituted bodies, the SEF and the ARATS are both directly led by the Executive Government of each side: the SEF by the Mainland Affairs Council of the ROC's Executive Yuan, and the ARATS by the Taiwan Affairs Office of the PRC's State Council. The heads of the two bodies are both full-time appointees and do not hold other government positions.
Semi-official representative offices between the two sides are the PRC's Cross-Strait Tourism Exchange Association (CSTEA) in Taiwan, and ROC's Taiwan Strait Tourism Association (TSTA) in China.[158][159] Both were established in May 2010.[160] However, the duties of these offices are limited only to tourism-related affairs.
The Kuomintang and the Chinese Communist Party maintained regular dialogue via the KMT–CCP Forum from 2006 to 2016.[161][162] This was called a "second rail" in Taiwan and helped to maintain political understanding between the two parties.[163]
The Shanghai-Taipei City Forum is an annual forum between the cities of Shanghai and Taipei. Launched in 2010 by then-Taipei Mayor Hau Lung-pin to promote city-to-city exchanges, it led to Shanghai's participation in the Taipei International Flora Exposition end of that year.[164] Both Taipei and Shanghai are the first two cities across the Taiwan Strait that carries out exchanges. The forum proceeded even though Ko Wen-je was the non-KMT mayor of Taipei from 2014 to 2022.[165][166]
Another mode of contact is through private bodies accredited by the respective governments to negotiate technical and operational aspects of issues between the two sides. Called the "Macau mode", this avenue of contact was maintained even through the years of the Chen Shui-bian administration.[167]
Transportation
[edit]The PRC proposed Three Links to open up postal, transportation and trade links between mainland China and Taiwan. Before 2003, travelers had to make a time-consuming stopover at a third destination, usually Hong Kong or Macau.[168] Cross-strait charter flights during Chinese New Year took off in 2003. However, the charter flights still had to land in Hong Kong. The transportation model was improved in 2005 as the flights had to fly over Hong Kong's flight information region without landing. It was not until 2008 that direct flights and cargo shipments began.[85] As of 2015, 61 mainland Chinese cities are connected with eight airports in Taiwan. The flights operate every day, totaling 890 round-trip flights across the Taiwan Strait per week.[169]
Taiwan residents cannot use the Republic of China passport to travel to mainland China, and mainland China residents cannot use the People's Republic of China passport to travel to Taiwan, as neither the ROC nor the PRC considers this international travel. The PRC government requires Taiwan residents to hold a Mainland Travel Permit for Taiwan Residents when entering mainland China, whereas the ROC government requires mainland Chinese residents to hold the Exit and Entry Permit for the Taiwan Area of the Republic of China to enter the Taiwan Area.
Economy
[edit]China is Taiwan's most important target of outward foreign direct investment.[170] From 1991 to 2022, more than US$200 billion have been invested in China by Taiwanese companies.[171] In 2020, 31.8% of Taiwan's foreign investments were invested in China.[172]: 109 Much of Taiwanese-owned manufacturing, particularly in the electronics sector and the apparel sector, occurs in the PRC.[173]: 11 The investments helped the Taiwanese economy but also propelled China's economic rise.[174]
China is also Taiwan's largest trading partner, accounting for over 20 percent of total trade.[175] China and Hong Kong account for over 30 percent of Taiwan's exports. In 2022, Taiwan's trade surplus with mainland China and Hong Kong amounted to $100.4 billion.[176] Electronic components, including semiconductor chips, lead in Taiwan's total exports to China.[177]
Since the governments on both sides of the strait do not recognize the other side's legitimacy, there is a lack of legal protection for cross-strait economic exchanges. The Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) was viewed as providing legal protection for investments.[178] In 2014, the Sunflower Student Movement effectively halted the Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement (CSSTA).
Neither China nor Taiwan is comfortable with mutual economic dependence, and each government has been driven to seek alternatives.[179] Since 2016, Taiwan has tried to reduce its economic reliance on mainland China through its New Southbound Policy – in 2022 Taiwan's total investments in the countries targeted by the policy outstripped investments in China for the first time.[180] The number of Taiwanese working in China also fell. In 2015, 58 percent of Taiwanese working outside Taiwan worked in mainland China, with a total number of 420,000 people.[181] In 2021, the number fell to 163,000, accounting for 51.1 percent of the 319,000 Taiwanese who worked overseas.[182]
In 2021, China banned pineapple imports from Taiwan, citing the risk of “harmful creatures” that could affect its own crops. The Taiwanese government characterized the ban as a Chinese campaign to ramp up political pressure on Taiwan. Similar to the Australian barley and wine incident, China was accused of "using ambiguous and opaque trade policies to punish its rivals." As a reaction to the ban, Taiwanese politicians and allies promoted Taiwanese pineapples as freedom pineapples.[183]
In May 2024, following the inauguration of Lai Ching-te, China suspended preferential tariff arrangements on 134 items under the ECFA.[184]
Technology
[edit]Over the objection of the Tsai administration, in March 2017, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) invested US$3 billion in Nanjing for to develop a manufacturing subsidiary there.[118]: 74
In July 2017, United Microelectronics Corporation invested US$611 million to expand its Xiamen city factory.[118]: 74
In September 2017, Foxconn Technology Group agreed with the Nanjing government to invest US$5.7 billion for the development of intelligent terminal devices, LCD development, and other research.[118]: 74
Cultural exchanges
[edit]The National Palace Museum in Taipei and the Palace Museum in Beijing have collaborated on exhibitions.[185] Scholars and academics frequently visit institutions across the Taiwan Strait.[186] Books published on each side are regularly re-published in the other side. However, restrictions on direct imports, different writing systems, and censorship somewhat impede the exchange of books and ideas.[187][188] Some cultural exchanges are even accused of being associated with China's united front work.[189][190]
Taiwanese students can apply to universities in the mainland China without taking China's nationwide unified examination, called Gaokao.[191] There are regular programs for school students from each side to visit the other.[192][193] In 2019, there were 30,000 mainland Chinese and Hong Kong students studying in Taiwan.[194] There were also more than 7,000 Taiwanese students studying in Hong Kong that same year.[195]
Religious exchange has become frequent. Frequent interactions occur between worshipers of Matsu, and also between Buddhists.[196][197] Taiwan Buddhist organization Tzu Chi is the first overseas non-governmental organization allowed to operate in China.[198]
Humanitarian actions
[edit]Both sides have provided humanitarian aid to one another on several occasions.[citation needed] Following the 2008 Sichuan earthquake, an expert search and rescue team was sent from Taiwan to help rescue survivors in Sichuan. Shipments of aid material were also provided under the coordination of the Red Cross Society of the Republic of China and charities such as Tzu Chi.[199]
Following the 2023 Jishishan earthquake, Taiwanese President Tsai expressed her condolences and offered humanitarian aid to the PRC.[200] Tsai expressed her condolences in official remarks, as well as in a simplified character post on X.[201]
Military
[edit]The People's Republic of China's persistent opposition to Taiwan's de facto autonomy has edged many times on the possibility and threat of a military invasion of the latter territories with the aim of achieving its vision of Chinese unification. Such a threat has become increasingly tangible in the course of the 2020s, driven by the expressed willingness of mainland political leadership to pursue a military intervention, its parallel build-up of forces and recurrent exercises around Taiwan; as a consequence, Taiwan has also pursued forms of military preparation and international political alignment to discourage and possibly resist such intervention.[202][203] The U.S. has increased military exchanges with Taiwan,[204][205] and U.S. military vessels passed through the Taiwan Strait at a far greater rate.[206]
Speculation about the odds of war between China and Taiwan is rife. The Deputy Director-General of Taiwan's National Security Bureau, Chen Wen-fan, stated in 2020 that Xi Jinping intends to solve the "Taiwan Problem" by 2049.[207] In 2022, U.S. Pacific Command described the situation of cross-straits relations as being dire, as China was amassing the largest build-up of military personnel and assets seen since World War II.[208] Admiral Mike Gilday, Chief of Naval Operations of the U.S. Navy, warned that the American military must be prepared for the possibility of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan before 2024.[209] A poll conducted by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) summarized that China is determined to unify with Taiwan and the potential for a military crisis or conflict in the Taiwan Strait is very real.[210] The poll also showed that China is willing to wait to unify with Taiwan peacefully, but would immediately invade if Taiwan declared independence.
The People's Liberation Army's current capacity of carrying out and winning such a war is a matter of debate, ranging mostly on the analysis whether it has the power to take the self-governing island despite the heavy costs foreseen. The perceived failure of the Russian army in rapidly occupying Ukraine, turning into a protracted conflict with destabilizing repercussions inside Russia itself, is believed to weigh on PRC decision making.[211][212][213]
International scenario
[edit]The consolidation of Chinese hegemony in the Indo-Pacific and the immediate economic repercussions of the disruption to commodities logistics and electronic technology production are its main concerns in relation to Taiwan's security.[214]
The United States of America officially follows the "One-China policy", encouraging China and Taiwan to resolve their differences through dialogue, while also supporting Taiwan's efforts to enhance its self-defense under the Taiwan Relations Act.[215]
Since the 2010s, the relationship between India and Taiwan has become increasingly close. That lauding of Taiwan's democratic process and the promise of further collaboration signaled a turning point for India, said Jagannath Panda, head of the Stockholm Center for South Asian and Indo-Pacific Affairs.[216] Some analysts see India as an approximation to the United States as a visible positioning as well as a growing liability, amounting to the possibility of the country being dragged into the war.[214]
Public opinion
[edit]China
[edit]A 2019 phone survey conducted in nine major cities found that 53.1% of respondents supported using military force for unification with Taiwan while 39.1% stated that they would oppose military force under any circumstance.[217]: 37
A survey conducted between 2020 and 2021 showed that 55 percent of the respondents accepted launching a war to unify with Taiwan entirely while 33 percent of them opposed.[218] 22 percent of the respondents accepted the two sides of the Taiwan Strait keeping separate political systems, with unification not necessarily being the end game.[218]
Another survey conducted in 2022 showed Chinese respondents were split between those favoring tough policies on Taiwan and those favoring friendly ones.[219]
Young jingoistic Chinese nationalists on the internet, also called Little Pink, occasionally bypassed the Great Firewall to flood websites with messages and stickers in protest against Taiwan independence.[220][221][222]
Taiwan
[edit]In 2023, a poll conducted by the Election Study Center of National Chengchi University (NCCU) showed that the Taiwanese public opted for maintaining some forms of the status quo, instead of choosing Taiwan independence or unification with China as soon as possible.[224][225] Other polls released by the Mainland Affairs Council (MAC)[226] and the Focus Survey Research[227] showed similar responses. A poll conducted by the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation (TPOF) showed the public preferred independence to unification with China.[228][229]
On people's national identity of being either "Taiwanese" or "Chinese," a majority of respondents identify as Taiwanese in either poll of the NCCU[223] or the TPOF.[230] MAC polls have consistently shown support for the future of Taiwan to be decided by the people in Taiwan.[231][232][233]
On President Tsai Ing-wen's cross-strait policy, the first poll conducted by the TPOF in August 2016 showed 51 percent of approval and 40 percent of disapproval.[234] The approval rating dropped below the disapproval rating three month later and hit the lowest of 25 percent in December 2018.[235] However, the approval rating bounced after 2019.[234] In 2020, an annual poll conducted by Academia Sinica showed 73 percent of respondents disagreed with the statement that "the Chinese government is a friend of Taiwan's," an increase of 15 percent from the previous year.[236][237] In 2024, an annual survey by Academia Sinica found that 80.6 percent of Taiwan residents believe Taiwan and China do not belong to the same country.[238][239]
See also
[edit]- Cross-Strait Economic, Trade and Culture Forum
- Cross-strait high-level talks
- Cross-Strait Peace Forum
- History of cross-strait relations
References
[edit]- ^ Gold, Thomas B. (March 1987). "The Status Quo is Not Static: Mainland-Taiwan Relations". Asian Survey. 27 (3): 300–315. doi:10.2307/2644806. JSTOR 2644806.
- ^ Blanchard, Ben; Lee, Yimou (3 January 2020). "Factbox: Key facts on Taiwan-China relations ahead of Taiwan elections". Reuters. Archived from the original on 6 April 2020. Retrieved 7 June 2020.
- ^ Green, Leslie C. (1993). The Contemporary Law of Armed Conflict. Manchester University Press. p. 79. ISBN 9780719035401. Retrieved 24 August 2021.
- ^ Office of the President Republic of China (Taiwan) (20 May 2024). "Inaugural Address of ROC 16th-term President Lai Ching-te". Retrieved 25 August 2024.
- ^ "China suspends tariff concessions on 134 items under Taiwan trade deal". Reuters. 31 May 2024. Retrieved 25 August 2024.
- ^ "China says war games around Taiwan to test ability to 'seize power'". Al Jazeera. 24 May 2024. Retrieved 25 August 2024.
- ^ Zhang, Qiyun. (1959) An outline history of Taiwan. Taipei: China Culture Publishing Foundation
- ^ Sanchze-Mazas (ed.) (2008) Past human migrations in East Asia : matching archaeology, linguistics and genetics. New York: Routledge.
- ^ Brown, Melissa J. (2004) Is Taiwan Chinese? : the impact of culture, power, and migration on changing identities. Berkeley: University of California Press
- ^ Lian, Heng (1920). 臺灣通史 [The General History of Taiwan] (in Chinese). OCLC 123362609.
- ^ Teng, Emma J. (23 May 2019). "Taiwan and Modern China". Oxford Research Encyclopedias. doi:10.1093/acrefore/9780190277727.013.155. ISBN 978-0-19-027772-7. Retrieved 25 July 2023.
- ^ Morris, Andrew (2002). "The Taiwan Republic of 1895 and the Failure of the Qing Modernizing Project". In Stephane Corcuff (ed.). Memories of the Future: National Identity issues and the Search for a New Taiwan. New York: M.E. Sharpe. pp. 4–18. ISBN 978-0-7656-0791-1.
- ^ Hsiao, Frank S. T.; Sullivan, Lawrence R. (1979). "The Chinese Communist Party and the Status of Taiwan, 1928-1943". Pacific Affairs. 52 (3): 446. doi:10.2307/2757657. JSTOR 2757657.
- ^ van der Wees, Gerrit (3 May 2022). "When the CCP Thought Taiwan Should Be Independent". The Diplomat. Archived from the original on 8 November 2023. Retrieved 9 November 2023.
- ^ Whitman, Alden. "The Life of Chiang Kai-shek: A Leader Who Was Thrust Aside by Revolution". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 11 February 2001. Retrieved 24 February 2017.
- ^ a b c d e Tsang, Steve Yui-Sang Tsang. The Cold War's Odd Couple: The Unintended Partnership Between the Republic of China and the UK, 1950–1958. [2006] (2006). I.B. Tauris. ISBN 1-85043-842-0. p 155, p 115-120, p 139-145
- ^ Qi, Bangyuan. Wang, Dewei. Wang, David Der-wei. [2003] (2003). The Last of the Whampoa Breed: Stories of the Chinese Diaspora. Columbia University Press. ISBN 0-231-13002-3. pg 2
- ^ "戡亂暨臺海戰役" [Counter-insurgency Campaign and Battle of the Taiwan Strait] (in Chinese (Taiwan)). 國軍歷史文物館. Archived from the original on 28 December 2011. Retrieved 10 November 2021.
- ^ Zhang, Ben (2017). 1950年上海大轰炸 [1950 Shanghai Bombing] (in Chinese) (1st ed.). ISBN 9787552019704.
- ^ MacFarquhar, Roderick. Fairbank, John K. Twitchett, Denis C. [1991] (1991). The Cambridge History of China. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-24337-8. pg 820.
- ^ Kaufman, Victor S. (2001). "Trouble in the Golden Triangle: The United States, Taiwan and the 93rd Nationalist Division". The China Quarterly. 166 (166): 440–456. doi:10.1017/S0009443901000213 (inactive 1 November 2024). JSTOR 3451165. S2CID 154621512.
{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: DOI inactive as of November 2024 (link) - ^ Bush, Richard C. [2005] (2005). Untying the Knot: Making Peace in the Taiwan Strait. Brookings Institution Press. ISBN 0-8157-1288-X.
- ^ Chen, Jian (1992). "China's Changing Aims during the Korean War, 1950–1951". The Journal of American-East Asian Relations. 1 (1): 8–41. JSTOR 23613365.
- ^ Nam, Kwang Kyu (2020). "U.S. Strategy and Role in Cross-Strait Relations: Focusing on U.S.-Taiwan Relations". The Journal of East Asian Affairs. 33 (1): 155–176. JSTOR 45441015.
- ^ "14,000 Who Chose Freedom". Taiwan Today. 1 January 1964. Archived from the original on 20 September 2022. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
- ^ Chang, Cheng David (2011). To return home or "Return to Taiwan" : conflicts and survival in the "Voluntary Repatriation" of Chinese POWs in the Korean War (PhD). University of California, San Diego. Archived from the original on 21 December 2022. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
- ^ "The first anti-communist heroes". Taipei Times. 17 January 2016. Archived from the original on 21 December 2022. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
- ^ a b Zhao, Suisheng (2023). The Dragon Roars Back: Transformational Leaders and Dynamics of Chinese Foreign Policy. Stanford, California: Stanford University Press. p. 35. ISBN 978-1-5036-3415-2. OCLC 1332788951.
- ^ a b O'Shaughnessy, Hugh (24 November 2007). "Kinmen: The island that Chairman Mao couldn't capture". The Independent. Archived from the original on 16 August 2021. Retrieved 16 August 2021.
- ^ "Details of Chiang Kai-shek's attempts to recapture mainland to be made public". South China Morning Post. 22 April 2009. Archived from the original on 21 October 2019.
- ^ Wang, Guangci (20 April 2009). "Project National Glory. Makung Naval Battle Defeat. Waking up from the dream of retaking the mainland". United Daily News (in Chinese). Archived from the original on 22 April 2009.
- ^ "Taiwan President rejects 'peace treaty' with China to avoid compromising national sovereignty". Taiwan News. 20 February 2019. Retrieved 23 July 2023.
- ^ "The Defectors' Story". Taiwan Today. 1 July 1961. Retrieved 23 July 2023.
- ^ "Justin Lin faces arrests if he returns: MND". Taipei Times. 15 March 2012. Retrieved 23 July 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y Chen, Dean P. (2024). "Xi Jinping and the Derailment of the KMT-CCP "1992 Consensus"". In Fang, Qiang; Li, Xiaobing (eds.). China under Xi Jinping: A New Assessment. Leiden University Press. ISBN 9789087284411.
- ^ Cabestan, Jean-Pierre (2000). "The Relations Across the Taiwan Strait: Twenty Years of Development and Frustration". China Review: 105–134. JSTOR 23453363.
- ^ a b Sheng, Lijun (2002). China and Taiwan: Cross-strait Relations Under Chen Shui-bian. Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies. pp. 7–8. ISBN 1-84277-318-6.
- ^ a b c d e f Zhao, Suisheng (2024). "Is Beijing's Long Game on Taiwan about to End? Peaceful Unification, Brinksmanship, and Military Takeover". In Zhao, Suisheng (ed.). The Taiwan Question in Xi Jinping's Era: Beijing's Evolving Taiwan Policy and Taiwan's Internal and External Dynamics. London and New York: Routledge. doi:10.4324/9781003521709. ISBN 9781032861661.
- ^ "Hijacked Plane Will End 2 Chinas' 40-Year Silence : Taiwan to Negotiate on Aircraft". Los Angeles Times. 13 May 1986. Archived from the original on 21 December 2022. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
- ^ "Plane hijacked to China returns to Taiwan". UPI. 23 May 1986. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
- ^ Ger, Yeong-kuang (2015). "Cross-Strait Relations and the Taiwan Relations Act". American Journal of Chinese Studies. 22: 235–252. JSTOR 44289169.
- ^ "Cross-strait reunions celebrated". Taipei Times. 12 May 2007. Archived from the original on 21 December 2022. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
- ^ "国务院关于鼓励台湾同胞投资的规定". flk.npc.gov.cn (in Chinese). Archived from the original on 21 December 2022. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
- ^ "Provisions of the State Council of the People's Republic of China for Encouraging Taiwan Compatriots to Invest in the Mainland". www.lawinfochina.com. Archived from the original on 21 December 2022. Retrieved 22 December 2022.
- ^ Chou, Hui-ching (7 December 2018). "How the '1992 Consensus' Colors Taiwan's Fate". Commonwealth Magazine. Archived from the original on 6 July 2021. Retrieved 8 January 2022.
- ^ Chiu, Hungdah (1994). "The Koo-Wang Talks and Intra-Chinese Relations". American Journal of Chinese Studies. 2 (2): 219–262. JSTOR 44288492.
- ^ Jacobs, J. Bruce; Liu, I-hao Ben (2007). "Lee Teng-Hui and the Idea of 'Taiwan'". The China Quarterly. 190: 375–393. doi:10.1017/S0305741007001245. JSTOR 20192775. S2CID 154384016.
- ^ "Taiwan's Lee speaks at Cornell". UPI. 9 June 1995. Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ^ Ming, Chu-cheng (1996). "Political Interactions Across the Taiwan Straits". China Review: 175–200. JSTOR 23453144.
- ^ Porch, Douglas (1999). "The Taiwan Strait Crisis of 1996: Strategic Implications for the United States Navy". Naval War College Review. 52 (3): 15–48. JSTOR 44643008.
- ^ Scobell, Andrew (2000). "Show of Force: Chinese Soldiers, Statesmen, and the 1995–1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis". Political Science Quarterly. 115 (2): 227–246. doi:10.2307/2657901. JSTOR 2657901.
- ^ Cabestan, Jean-Pierre (1999). "Wang Daohan and Koo Chen-fu Meet Again: A Political Dialogue... of the Deaf?". China Perspectives. 21 (21): 25–27. JSTOR 24051197.
- ^ Hu, Weixing (2000). "'Two-state' Theory versus One-China Principle: Cross-strait Relations in 1999". China Review: 135–156. JSTOR 23453364.
- ^ Sheng, Lijun (2001). "Chen Shui-bian and Cross-Strait Relations". Contemporary Southeast Asia. 23 (1): 122–148. doi:10.1355/CS23-1G (inactive 2 December 2024). JSTOR 25798531.
{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: DOI inactive as of December 2024 (link) - ^ "Su Chi admits the '1992 consensus' was made up". Taipei Times. 22 February 2006. Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ^ Cheng, Allen T. (14 July 2000). "Did He Say 'One China'?". Asiaweek. Archived from the original on 30 July 2021. Retrieved 11 March 2021.
- ^ Lin, Syaru Shirley (29 June 2016). Taiwan's China Dilemma. Stanford University Press. pp. 96–98. ISBN 978-0804799287.
- ^ "Taiwan Lifts Restrictions on Investment in China". The New York Times. 8 November 2001. Retrieved 23 September 2023.
- ^ "Taiwan – timeline". BBC News. 9 March 2011. Archived from the original on 9 December 2011. Retrieved 6 January 2012.
- ^ Wang, Vincient Wei-cheng (2002). "The Chen Shui-Bian Administrations MainlandPolicy: Toward a Modus Vivendi or ContinuedStalemate?". Politics Faculty Publications and Presentations: 115.
- ^ Glaser, Bonnie (30 November 2010). "China's Taiwan Policy in the Wake of 'One Country on Each Side'". The Journal of the National Committee on American Foreign Policy. 24 (6): 515–524. doi:10.1080/10803920216379. S2CID 154365745.
- ^ "China Outplays Taiwan in Cricket Diplomacy". ABC News. 10 February 2009. Retrieved 18 May 2022.
- ^ "Mainland scrambles to help Taiwan airlines". Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 3 April 2016.
- ^ Robinson, Dan (16 March 2005). "US House Criticizes China Bill on Taiwan Secession". Voice of America. Archived from the original on 2 April 2005. Retrieved 17 March 2005.
- ^ Hammond, Ken (2023). China's Revolution and the Quest for a Socialist Future. New York, NY: 1804 Books. ISBN 9781736850084.
- ^ Sisci, Francesco (5 April 2005). "Strange cross-Taiwan Strait bedfellows". Asia Times. Archived from the original on 12 May 2008. Retrieved 15 May 2008.
- ^ Zhong, Wu (29 March 2005). "KMT makes China return in historic trip to ease tensions". The Standard. Archived from the original on 2 June 2008. Retrieved 16 May 2008.
- ^ Hong, Caroline (30 April 2005). "Lien, Hu share 'vision' for peace". Taipei Times. Retrieved 3 June 2016.
- ^ "Taiwanese opposition leader in Beijing talks". The Guardian. Associated Press. 29 April 2005.
- ^ Hong, Caroline (28 March 2005). "KMT delegation travels to China for historic visit". Taipei Times. Retrieved 18 November 2014.
- ^ "Decisive victory for Ma Ying-jeou". Taipei Times. 23 March 2008. Archived from the original on 3 December 2013. Retrieved 10 April 2013.
- ^ "晤諾貝爾得主 馬再拋兩岸互不否認" [Meeting Nobel laureates, Ma again speaks of mutual non-denial]. Liberty Times (in Chinese). 19 April 2008. Archived from the original on 25 May 2008. Retrieved 2 June 2008.
- ^ "Taiwan and China in 'special relations': Ma". China Post. 4 September 2008. Archived from the original on 6 September 2008.
- ^ Lampton, David M. (2024). Living U.S.-China Relations: From Cold War to Cold War. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield. p. 230. ISBN 978-1-5381-8725-8.
- ^ Fuh-sheng, John; Lin, Yi-Tzu (2024). "Butter or Guns: Taiwan's Economic Policy Toward China". In Zhao, Suisheng (ed.). The Taiwan Question in Xi Jinping's Era: Beijing's Evolving Taiwan Policy and Taiwan's Internal and External Dynamics. London and New York: Routledge. ISBN 9781032861661.
- ^ "Chinese, U.S. presidents hold telephone talks on Taiwan, Tibet". Xinhuanet. 27 March 2008. Archived from the original on 29 March 2008. Retrieved 15 May 2008.
- ^ "Chinese, U.S. presidents hold telephone talks on Taiwan, Tibet". Consulate-General of the People's Republic of China in Vancouver. 26 March 2008. Archived from the original on 2 January 2022.
- ^ Hille, Kathrin (3 April 2008). "Hopes rise for Taiwan-China dialogue". Financial Times. Archived from the original on 6 January 2022.
According to a US account of the talks, Mr Hu said: It is China's consistent stand that the Chinese mainland and Taiwan should restore consultation and talks on the basis of 'the 1992 consensus', which sees both sides recognise there is only one China, but agree to differ on its definition.
- ^ "Siew and Hu meet at forum in Hainan". Taipei Times. 13 April 2008. Retrieved 11 November 2023.
- ^ "China's Hu wants improved relations with Taiwan". France 24. 28 May 2008. Retrieved 11 November 2023.
- ^ "China leader calls for cross-strait talks". UPI. 29 May 2008. Retrieved 11 November 2023.
- ^ "吳胡共識 速兌現陸客觀光及包機". The Liberty Times (in Chinese). 29 May 2008. Retrieved 11 November 2023.
- ^ 海峡两岸包机会谈纪要(全文) [Cross-Strait charter flights neogitation memorandum (full text)] (in Chinese). Xinhua News Agency. 13 June 2008. Archived from the original on 13 February 2009. Retrieved 15 June 2008.
- ^ 海峡两岸关于大陆居民赴台湾旅游协议(全文) [Cross-Strait agreement on mainland residents visiting Taiwan for tourism (full text)] (in Chinese). Xinhua News Agency. 13 June 2008. Archived from the original on 13 February 2009. Retrieved 15 June 2008.
- ^ a b Yu, Sophie; Macartney, Jane (16 December 2008). "Direct flights between China and Taiwan mark new era of improved relations". The Times. London. Archived from the original on 25 May 2010. Retrieved 4 June 2009.
- ^ "Taiwan opens up to mainland Chinese investors". The Times. London. 1 May 2009. Archived from the original on 8 May 2009. Retrieved 4 May 2009.
- ^ "China unveils 31 measures to promote exchanges with Taiwan". focustaiwan.tw. 16 June 2013. Archived from the original on 3 December 2013.
- ^ "Taiwan, Chinese ministers meet in groundbreaking first". focustaiwan.tw. 6 October 2013. Archived from the original on 24 December 2013.
- ^ Video on YouTube
- ^ "MAC, TAO ministers to meet today". Archived from the original on 22 February 2014.
- ^ "MAC Minister Wang in historic meeting". Taipei Times. 12 February 2014. Archived from the original on 3 March 2016.
- ^ "China and Taiwan Hold First Direct Talks Since '49". The New York Times. 12 February 2014. Archived from the original on 4 April 2016. Retrieved 3 April 2016.
- ^ "China-Taiwan talks pave way for leaders to meet". The Sydney Morning Herald. 12 February 2014. Archived from the original on 9 May 2014.
- ^ "First minister-level Chinese official heads to Taipei for talks". Japan Times. 25 June 2014. ISSN 0447-5763. Archived from the original on 27 June 2014. Retrieved 4 June 2016.
- ^ J. Michael Cole, The Diplomat. "Hundreds of Thousands Protest Against Trade Pact in Taiwan". The Diplomat. Archived from the original on 1 April 2016. Retrieved 3 April 2016.
- ^ "Taiwan presidential hopefuls reheat decade-old China trade deal debate". Focus Taiwan. 26 June 2023. Retrieved 3 November 2023.
- ^ Chou, Chih-chieh (13 October 2014). "Beijing seems to have cast off the 1992 Consensus". Want China Times. Archived from the original on 3 November 2014.
- ^ Huang, Jing (2017). "Xi Jinping's Taiwan Policy: Boxing Taiwan In with the One-China Framework". In Dittmer, Lowell (ed.). Taiwan and China: Fitful Embrace (1 ed.). University of California Press. p. 245. JSTOR 10.1525/j.ctt1w76wpm.16.
- ^ Huang, Cary (5 November 2015). "Xi's a mister, so is Ma: China and Taiwan have an unusual solution for an old problem". South China Morning Post. Retrieved 12 November 2015.
- ^ Chiao, Yuan-Ming (7 November 2015). "Cross-strait leaders meet after 66 years of separation". China Post. Archived from the original on 10 November 2015. Retrieved 3 June 2016.
- ^ "China and Taiwan leaders hail historic talks". BBC. 7 November 2015. Retrieved 3 November 2023.
- ^ "Hotline established for cross-strait affairs chiefs". Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 14 January 2016.
- ^ "Elections: Madam President". Taipei Times. 17 January 2016. Retrieved 3 November 2023.
- ^ "Minister of justice heads to China on historic visit". 29 March 2016. Archived from the original on 7 April 2016. Retrieved 3 April 2016.
- ^ Tai, Ya-chen; Chen, Chun-hua; Huang, Frances (17 January 2016). "Turnout in presidential race lowest in history". Central News Agency. Archived from the original on 19 January 2016. Retrieved 17 January 2016.
- ^ Romberg, Alan D. (1 March 2016). "The "1992 Consensus"—Adapting to the Future?". Hoover Institution. Retrieved 10 March 2021.
- ^ a b "Tsai's inauguration speech 'incomplete test paper': Beijing". Taipei Times. 21 May 2016. Archived from the original on 7 June 2020. Retrieved 20 May 2020.
- ^ Wong, Yeni; Wu, Ho-I; Wang, Kent (26 August 2016). "Tsai's Refusal to Affirm the 1992 Consensus Spells Trouble for Taiwan". The Diplomat. Archived from the original on 4 October 2017. Retrieved 4 October 2017.
- ^ "Full text of President Tsai's inaugural address". Central News Agency. 20 May 2016. Archived from the original on 19 May 2020. Retrieved 20 May 2020.
- ^ Hernández, Javier C. (25 June 2016). "China Suspends Diplomatic Contact With Taiwan". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 30 April 2020. Retrieved 20 May 2020.
- ^ Goh, Sui Noi (4 February 2020). "Cross-strait chill freezes out Taiwan in its efforts to deal with coronavirus outbreak". The Straits Times. Archived from the original on 7 June 2020. Retrieved 20 May 2020.
- ^ "Former president Ma to visit Hong Kong – Focus Taiwan". June 2016. Archived from the original on 4 June 2016. Retrieved 7 August 2016.
- ^ Ramzy, Austin (14 June 2016). "Taiwan Bars Ex-President From Visiting Hong Kong". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 23 June 2016. Retrieved 7 August 2016.
- ^ "Full text of former President Ma Ying-jeou's video speech at SOPA". Central News Agency. Archived from the original on 24 July 2016. Retrieved 7 August 2016.
- ^ "Local gov't officials hold meeting with Beijing". Archived from the original on 23 September 2016.
- ^ "Local government heads arrive in Beijing for talks – Taipei Times". 18 September 2016. Archived from the original on 19 September 2016.
- ^ "Kuomintang News Network". Archived from the original on 24 September 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f Xin, Qiang (2024). "Selective Engagement: Mainland China's Dual-Track Taiwan Policy". In Zhao, Suisheng (ed.). The Taiwan Question in Xi Jinping's Era: Beijing's Evolving Taiwan Policy and Taiwan's Internal and External Dynamics. London and New York: Routledge. ISBN 9781032861661.
- ^ "President Tsai calls for new model for cross-strait ties | ChinaPost". ChinaPost. 3 October 2017. Archived from the original on 4 October 2017. Retrieved 4 October 2017.
- ^ "Tsai renews call for new model on cross-strait ties – Taipei Times". taipeitimes.com. 4 October 2017. Archived from the original on 3 October 2017. Retrieved 4 October 2017.
- ^ a b hermesauto (18 October 2017). "19th Party Congress: Any attempt to separate Taiwan from China will be thwarted". The Straits Times. Archived from the original on 18 October 2017. Retrieved 19 October 2017.
- ^ 习近平:我们有足够能力挫败"台独"分裂图谋_新改革时代. news.ifeng.com. Archived from the original on 19 October 2017. Retrieved 19 October 2017.
- ^ "With Chinese Tourism Down, Taiwan Looks to Lure Visitors From Southeast Asia". The New York Times. 17 May 2017. Archived from the original on 17 May 2017. Retrieved 11 November 2023.
- ^ "China bans tour groups to Vatican, Palau to isolate Taiwan – Taiwan News". 23 November 2017. Archived from the original on 27 November 2017. Retrieved 18 December 2017.
- ^ "China's Hybrid Warfare and Taiwan". The Diplomat. 13 January 2018. Archived from the original on 14 October 2019. Retrieved 16 September 2019.
- ^ "With Odds Against It, Taiwan Keeps Coronavirus Corralled". NPR. 13 March 2020. Archived from the original on 21 March 2020. Retrieved 14 March 2020.
- ^ "'Fake news' rattles Taiwan ahead of elections". Al-Jazeera. 23 November 2018. Archived from the original on 14 December 2018. Retrieved 16 September 2019.
- ^ "Analysis: 'Fake news' fears grip Taiwan ahead of local polls". BBC Monitoring. 21 November 2018. Archived from the original on 14 December 2018. Retrieved 16 September 2019.
- ^ "Fake news: How China is interfering in Taiwanese democracy and what to do about it". Taiwan News. 23 November 2018. Archived from the original on 14 December 2018. Retrieved 16 September 2019.
- ^ "China's hybrid warfare against Taiwan". The Washington Post. 14 December 2018. Archived from the original on 14 October 2019. Retrieved 16 September 2019.
- ^ "President Tsai issues statement on China's President Xi's "Message to Compatriots in Taiwan"". english.president.gov.tw. 2 January 2019.
- ^ "Taiwan's President, Defying Xi Jinping, Calls Unification Offer "Impossible"". The New York Times. 5 January 2019. Archived from the original on 5 January 2019. Retrieved 4 July 2023.
- ^ "Tsai, Lai voice support for Hong Kong extradition bill protesters". Foucs Taiwan. 10 June 2019. Archived from the original on 1 July 2020. Retrieved 4 July 2023.
- ^ "Tsai Ing-wen says China must 'face reality' of Taiwan's independence". TheGuardian.com. 15 January 2020. Archived from the original on 3 February 2020. Retrieved 3 February 2020.
- ^ "Taiwan opposition seeks distance from China after poll defeat". Reuters. 7 June 2020. Archived from the original on 8 June 2020. Retrieved 8 June 2020.
- ^ Blanchard, Ben; Lee, Yimou. "Taiwan opposition chief in no rush for China meeting". Archived from the original on 9 March 2021. Retrieved 11 March 2021.
- ^ Cheung, Stanley; Yeh, Joseph (16 June 2021). "Macao office in Taipei suspends operation following HK office closure". Focus Taiwan. Archived from the original on 17 June 2021. Retrieved 17 June 2021.
- ^ Blanchard, Ben; Lee, Yimou (10 October 2021). "Taiwan won't be forced to bow to China, president says". Reuters. Archived from the original on 12 April 2023. Retrieved 10 October 2021.
- ^ "China denounces Taiwan president's speech". Reuters. 10 October 2021. Archived from the original on 10 October 2021. Retrieved 10 October 2021.
- ^ Chien, Amy Chang (22 June 2022). "First Pineapples, Now Fish: To Pressure Taiwan, China Flexes Economic Muscle". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 27 June 2022. Retrieved 27 June 2022.
- ^ "Taiwan threatens to take China to WTO in new spat over fruit". Reuters. 19 September 2021. Archived from the original on 27 June 2022. Retrieved 27 June 2022.
- ^ "US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi arrives in Taiwan, China says visit 'seriously infringes' upon its sovereignty". CNA. 2 August 2022. Archived from the original on 4 August 2022. Retrieved 9 July 2023.
- ^ a b Zheng, Sarah (2 August 2022). "China Plans Four Days of Military Drills in Areas Encircling Taiwan". Bloomberg. Retrieved 3 August 2022.
- ^ "China starts biggest-ever military drills around Taiwan in wake of Pelosi's visit". CBS News. 5 August 2022. Archived from the original on 9 August 2022. Retrieved 9 August 2022.
- ^ Davidson, Helen; Ni, Vincent (3 August 2022). "China to begin series of unprecedented live-fire drills off Taiwan coast". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 4 August 2022. Retrieved 4 August 2022.
- ^ "China Reacts Aggressively to Pelosi's Taiwan Visit | Arms Control Association". www.armscontrol.org. September 2022. Archived from the original on 9 December 2022. Retrieved 9 December 2022.
- ^ "China Says Taiwan Military Drills Over, Plans Regular Patrols". Bloomberg.com. 10 August 2022. Retrieved 14 August 2022.
- ^ Pollard, Martin Quin; Lee, Yimou (11 August 2022). "China military 'completes tasks' around Taiwan, plans regular patrols". Reuters. Archived from the original on 4 September 2022. Retrieved 14 August 2022.
- ^ "Beijing's Taiwan white paper: the messages for home and abroad". South China Morning Post. 10 August 2022. Archived from the original on 11 August 2022. Retrieved 10 August 2022.
- ^ "China Sends Warships, Fighter Jets Near Taiwan Following President's Meeting With US Speaker McCarthy". WNBC. 8 April 2023. Archived from the original on 8 April 2023. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
- ^ McDonald, Joe (8 April 2023). "China flies fighter jets near Taiwan after leader's trip to U.S." Los Angeles Times. Archived from the original on 8 April 2023. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
- ^ "China holds military drills around Taiwan after Tsai-McCarthy meeting". Axios. 8 April 2023. Archived from the original on 8 April 2023. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
- ^ "China simulates hitting 'key targets' on Taiwan". BBC. Archived from the original on 10 April 2023. Retrieved 10 April 2023.
- ^ "China's 'communist spies' in the dock in Taiwan". BBC News. 9 November 2023. Retrieved 9 November 2023.
- ^ a b "China jails Taiwanese person on separatism charge for first time". The Straits Times. 6 September 2024. ISSN 0585-3923. Retrieved 6 September 2024.
- ^ Hunnicutt, Trevor; Chen, Laurie; Lee, Yimou (29 October 2024). "Exclusive: China's Xi pressed Biden to alter language on Taiwan". Reuters. Retrieved 29 October 2024.
- ^ Irwin, Kate. "China Sanctions US Drone Maker Skydio Over Taiwan Deal". pcmag.com. PC Magazine. Retrieved 31 October 2024.
- ^ "Taipei, Beijing to open reciprocal tourism offices". Taiwan Today. 11 February 2010. Retrieved 30 December 2023.
- ^ "Taiwan, China Open First Semi-Official Offices". VOA. 12 May 2010. Retrieved 30 December 2023.
- ^ "Taiwan Strait Tourism Association opens office in Beijing". roc-taiwan.org. 13 May 2010. Archived from the original on 2 March 2014. Retrieved 30 December 2023.
- ^ "EDITORIAL: Rise and fall of the KMT-CCP forum". Taipei Times. 5 April 2016. Retrieved 25 December 2023.
- ^ "Does the KMT Still Have a Cross-Strait Role?". CommonWealth Magazine. 20 July 2018. Retrieved 25 December 2023.
- ^ "扮演第二軌角色 郝龍斌:國共論壇應聚焦經貿". China Times (in Chinese). 15 October 2016. Retrieved 25 December 2023.
- ^ "Ko heads to meeting in Shanghai". Archived from the original on 18 August 2015.
- ^ "Ko seeks goodwill, trust in Shanghai". Taipei Times. 18 August 2015. Archived from the original on 18 August 2015.
- ^ "Annual Taipei-Shanghai City Forum opens amid controversy". Radio Taiwan International. 19 July 2022. Retrieved 25 December 2023.
- ^ "兩岸宜強化擴大「澳門模式」的實施範疇". Jornal San Wa Ou (in Chinese). 31 August 2005. Retrieved 25 December 2023.
- ^ "Closer Than Ever". Taiwan Today. 1 December 2008. Retrieved 29 December 2023.
- ^ "Cross-strait scheduled flights increased to 890 per week". Focus Taiwan. 3 July 2015. Archived from the original on 4 July 2015.
- ^ Kuo, Anthony; Kao, Ming-Sung (23 April 2018). "Taiwan's FDI: Why Outflows are Greater than Inflows". taiwaninsight.org. Retrieved 29 December 2023.
- ^ "Statistics". Department of Investment Review, Ministry of Economic Affairs, R.O.C. Retrieved 29 December 2023.
- ^ Fuh-sheng, John; Lin, Yi-Tzu (2024). "Butter or Guns: Taiwan's Economic Policy Toward China". In Zhao, Suisheng (ed.). The Taiwan Question in Xi Jinping's Era: Beijing's Evolving Taiwan Policy and Taiwan's Internal and External Dynamics. London and New York: Routledge. ISBN 9781032861661.
- ^ Esarey, Ashley; Haddad, Mary Alice; Lewis, Joanna I.; Harrell, Stevan, eds. (2020). Greening East Asia: The Rise of the Eco-Developmental State. Seattle: University of Washington Press. ISBN 978-0-295-74791-0. JSTOR j.ctv19rs1b2.
- ^ Rigger, Shelley (2021). The Tiger Leading the Dragon: How Taiwan Propelled China's Economic Rise. Rowman & Littlefield Publishers. ISBN 978-1442219595.
- ^ "Trade Statistics". International Trade Administration, MOEA. Retrieved 29 December 2023.
- ^ Zhu, Zhiqun (26 April 2023). "Is Beijing 'Internationalizing' Cross-Strait Trade?". The Diplomat. Retrieved 29 December 2023.
- ^ Zheng, Sarah (17 August 2022). "China Reliance on Taiwan Would Make Trade Retaliation Costly". Bloomberg.
- ^ Tan, Alexander C.; Ho, Karl (2017). "Cross-Strait Relations and the Taiwan Voter". The Taiwan Voter. University of Michigan Press. pp. 160–161. ISBN 978-0-472-07353-5. JSTOR j.ctvndv9z7.10.
- ^ Mark, Jeremy; Graham, Niels (17 November 2023). "Relying on old enemies: The challenge of Taiwan's economic ties to China". Atlantic Council. Retrieved 29 December 2023.
- ^ "It is time to divert Taiwan's trade and investment from China". The Economist. 6 March 2023.
- ^ Chen, Cheng-wei; Huang, Frances (16 March 2017). "Almost 60% of Taiwanese working overseas located in China". Focus Taiwan. Archived from the original on 16 March 2017. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
- ^ "Taiwanese working in China has steadily dropped since 2014: Report". Focus Taiwan. 11 April 2023. Archived from the original on 11 April 2023.
- ^ McDonald, Tim (19 March 2021). "China and Taiwan face off in pineapple war". BBC. Retrieved 29 December 2023.
- ^ Kang, Taejun (30 May 2024). "China suspends tariff arrangements on 134 items under Taiwan trade deal". Radio Free Asia. Retrieved 31 May 2024.
- ^ "Taiwan Museum To Open Joint Exhibition With China". CBS News. 2 October 2009. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
- ^ Miao, Zong-Han (26 July 2023). "The cautious restarting of cross-strait academic exchanges". ThinkChina. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
- ^ Lin, Eric (October 2003). "Rewriting the Book—Publishing in Cultural Greater China". Taiwan Panorama. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
- ^ Hetherington, William (4 July 2022). "Beijing blacklisting more Taiwanese books: source". Taipei Times. Retrieved 3 January 2024.
- ^ "China hopes Mazu, a sea goddess, can help it win over Taiwan". The Economist. 15 June 2023. Archived from the original on 15 August 2023. Retrieved 3 January 2024.
- ^ Pomfret, James; Lee, Yimou (21 December 2023). "China wields Mazu 'peace goddess' religion as weapon in Taiwan election". Reuters. Retrieved 3 January 2024.
- ^ Lin, Chen-ju (19 November 2018) [First published 2 July 2018]. "Why Are Taiwanese Students Choosing China For University?". The Taiwan Gazette. Retrieved 6 January 2024.
- ^ "Taiwan teacher dedicates over 10 years to cross-Strait exchanges". China Daily. 8 August 2023. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
- ^ Haime, Jordyn (14 March 2023). "Why Chinese students are an increasingly rare sight in Taiwan". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
- ^ Chen, Chih-chung; Hsu, Chih-wei; Yeh, Joseph (2 October 2019). "Chinese students urged to cherish, respect freedom of speech". Focus Taiwan. Archived from the original on 3 October 2019. Retrieved 10 October 2019.
- ^ Teng, Pei-ju (14 October 2019). "Taiwan to provide legal assistance to its students in Hong Kong". Taiwan News. Archived from the original on 15 October 2019. Retrieved 15 October 2019.
- ^ Wong, Tessa; Chang, Joy (29 December 2023). "The worshippers caught between China and Taiwan". BBC News. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
- ^ Ho, Ming-sho (30 November 2022). "China's Influence Campaigns Among Taiwan's Religious Organizations". Carnegie Europe. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
- ^ "Atheist China gives nod to Taiwan Buddhist group". Reuters. 11 March 2008. Retrieved 3 January 2024.
- ^ Jennings, Ralph (15 May 2008). "Politics aside, Taiwan gives generously in China quake aid". Reuters. Archived from the original on 7 June 2020. Retrieved 7 June 2020.
- ^ Blanchard, Ben (19 December 2023). "Setting aside tensions, Taiwan president offers aid to China after deadly quake". Reuters. Taipei. Archived from the original on 19 December 2023. Retrieved 3 January 2024.
- ^ LaMattina, Lily (20 December 2023). "Taiwan offers aid to China after deadly earthquake". Taiwan News. Archived from the original on 3 January 2024. Retrieved 3 January 2024.
- ^ "China reaffirms threat of military force to take Taiwan". Aljazeera. 10 August 2022. Retrieved 19 August 2023.
- ^ "China's 'military threat' to Taiwan 'is much more credible than it was 20 years ago'". France24. 7 August 2022. Retrieved 19 August 2023.
- ^ Chandran, Nyshka (10 January 2018). "Chinese media warns the US of 'retaliations' from 'all sides' after new Taiwan bills passed". CNBC. Archived from the original on 17 February 2018. Retrieved 17 February 2018.
- ^ "Beijing 'strongly dissatisfied' as Trump signs Taiwan Travel Act". South China Morning Post. Archived from the original on 21 March 2018. Retrieved 22 March 2018.
- ^ "U.S. Military Support for Taiwan: What's Changed Under Trump?". Council on Foreign Relations. Archived from the original on 5 July 2019. Retrieved 25 June 2019.
- ^ Liao, George (21 October 2020). "Taiwan official details China's plan to solve Taiwan 'problem' by 2049: US military journal". Taiwan News. Archived from the original on 25 November 2020. Retrieved 24 November 2020.
- ^ Brest, Mike (24 June 2022). "China pursuing 'largest military buildup in history since WWII,' US commander says". Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on 3 August 2022. Retrieved 6 August 2022.
- ^ "US Navy chief warns China could invade Taiwan before 2024". Financial Times. 20 October 2022. Archived from the original on 20 October 2022. Retrieved 20 October 2022.
- ^ "Surveying the Experts: China's Approach to Taiwan". ChinaPower Project. 12 September 2022. Archived from the original on 22 October 2022. Retrieved 22 October 2022.
- ^ "China has the power to take Taiwan, but it would cost an extremely bloody price". CNN. 1 June 2022. Retrieved 19 August 2023.
- ^ "War in Ukraine is a warning to China of the risks in attacking Taiwan". The Conversation. 16 August 2023. Retrieved 19 August 2023.
- ^ "Can China impose military force against Taiwan?". Deutsche Welle. 25 March 2021. Retrieved 19 August 2023.
- ^ a b "What should India do if China invades Taiwan?". Scroll. 25 March 2021. Retrieved 18 September 2023.
- ^ Jingdong, Yuan (12 March 2023). "The United States and stability in the Taiwan Strait". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 79 (2): 80–86. doi:10.1080/00963402.2023.2178176.
- ^ "Broader ties projected between India, Taiwan". Indo-Pacific Defense magazine. Retrieved 11 March 2024.
- ^ Liu, Adam Y.; Li, Xiaojun (2024). "Assessing Public Support for (Non-)Peaceful Unification with Taiwan: Evidence from a Nationwide Survey in China". In Zhao, Suisheng (ed.). The Taiwan Question in Xi Jinping's Era: Beijing's Evolving Taiwan Policy and Taiwan's Internal and External Dynamics. London and New York: Routledge. ISBN 9781032861661.
- ^ a b Liu, Adam Y.; Li, Xiaojun (2 January 2024). "Assessing Public Support for (Non)Peaceful Unification with Taiwan: Evidence from a Nationwide Survey in China". Journal of Contemporary China. 33 (145): 1–13. doi:10.1080/10670564.2023.2209524. ISSN 1067-0564.
- ^ Kironska, Kristina; Turcsányi, Richard; Chen, Rong; Chen, Yiju; Chubb, Andrew; Iocovozzi, James; Šimalčík, Matej (22 November 2022). "Destined for conflict? Taiwanese and Chinese public opinions on Cross-Strait relations". Central European Institute of Asian Studies. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ "Facebook trolling, military drills: China responds to Taiwan's new president". CNN. 22 January 2016. Archived from the original on 20 December 2016.
- ^ Pichi Chuang (21 January 2016). "An army of Chinese trolls has jumped the Great Firewall to attack Taiwanese independence on Facebook". Quartz. Archived from the original on 29 December 2016.
- ^ "Pro-China posts spam Taiwan President-elect Tsai's Facebook". BBC News. 21 January 2016. Archived from the original on 5 March 2017.
- ^ a b "Taiwanese / Chinese Identity". Election Study Center, NCCU. 12 July 2023. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ "Taiwan Independence vs. Unification with the Mainland". Election Study Center, NCCU. 12 July 2023. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ Smith, Courtney Donovan (20 June 2023). "Disinformation, misinformation and the NCCU Taiwan polls". Taiwan News. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ "「民眾對當前兩岸關係之看法」民意調查". Mainland Affairs Council (in Chinese). 26 October 2023. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ "Public favors 'forever maintaining status quo': poll". 28 November 2023. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ "台灣人統獨傾向的最新發展" (PDF). Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation (in Chinese). 1 September 2023. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ "Poll shows 48.9% support independence". Taipei Times. 2 September 2023. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ "March 2023 Public Opinion Poll – English Excerpt" (PDF). Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation. 21 March 2023. Archived (PDF) from the original on 27 March 2023. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ Miao, Zong-han; Yen, William (3 November 2017). "Majority support new approach to cross-strait interactions: poll". Focus Taiwan. Taipei: Central News Agency. Archived from the original on 3 June 2020. Retrieved 3 June 2020.
- ^ Miu, Tsung-han; Huang, Frances (17 January 2019). "75% of Taiwanese reject Beijing's view of '1992 consensus': poll". Focus Taiwan. Taipei: Central News Agency. Archived from the original on 3 June 2020. Retrieved 3 June 2020.
- ^ "90% of Taiwanese oppose Chinese military threats: MAC poll". Focus Taiwan. Taipei: Central News Agency. 12 November 2020. Archived from the original on 13 November 2020. Retrieved 13 November 2020.
- ^ a b "January 2023 Public Opinion Poll – English Excerpt" (PDF). Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation. 17 January 2023. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ "Approval for Tsai and Lai hits new low". Taipei Times. 25 December 2018. Retrieved 31 December 2023.
- ^ "中央研究院社會學所「中國效應研究小組」(新聞稿)". Institute of Sociology, Academia Sinica (in Chinese). 3 June 2020. Retrieved 3 January 2024.
- ^ Miao, Zong-han; Mazzetta, Matthew (2 June 2020). "73 percent of Taiwanese say China's government not a 'friend': survey". Focus Taiwan. Taipei: Central News Agency. Archived from the original on 3 June 2020. Retrieved 3 June 2020.
- ^ "Survey: Taiwan residents view China as an increasing threat". Voice of America. 19 July 2024. Retrieved 20 July 2024.
- ^ "CSIS discusses poll on US, China views". Taipei Times. 20 July 2024. Retrieved 20 July 2024.
Further reading
[edit]- Books
- Beckershoff, A. (2023). Social Forces in the Re-Making of Cross-Strait Relations: Hegemony and Social Movements in Taiwan. Routledge. ISBN 978-1-032-49800-3
- Bush, R. & O'Hanlon, M. (2007). A War Like No Other: The Truth About China's Challenge to America. Wiley. ISBN 0-471-98677-1
- Bush, R. (2006). Untying the Knot: Making Peace in the Taiwan Strait. Brookings Institution Press. ISBN 0-8157-1290-1
- Cardenal, Juan Pablo; Araújo, Heriberto (2011). La silenciosa conquista china (in Spanish). Barcelona: Crítica. pp. 261–272. ISBN 9788498922578.
- Carpenter, T. (2006). America's Coming War with China: A Collision Course over Taiwan. Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN 1-4039-6841-1
- Cole, B. (2006). Taiwan's Security: History and Prospects. Routledge. ISBN 0-415-36581-3
- Copper, J. (2006). Playing with Fire: The Looming War with China over Taiwan. Praeger Security International General Interest. ISBN 0-275-98888-0
- Gill, B. (2007). Rising Star: China's New Security Diplomacy. Brookings Institution Press. ISBN 0-8157-3146-9
- Shirk, S. (2007). China: Fragile Superpower: How China's Internal Politics Could Derail Its Peaceful Rise. Oxford University Press. ISBN 0-19-530609-0
- Tsang, S. (2006). If China Attacks Taiwan: Military Strategy, Politics and Economics. Routledge. ISBN 0-415-40785-0
- Tucker, N.B. (2005). Dangerous Strait: the U.S.-Taiwan-China Crisis. Columbia University Press. ISBN 0-231-13564-5
- Wachman, Alan M. (2007 ) Why Taiwan? Geostrategic Rationales for China's Territorial Integrity. Stanford University Press. ISBN 978-0804755542
- Articles
- Federation of American Scientists et al. (2006). Chinese Nuclear Forces and U.S. Nuclear War Planning
- Sutter, Robert. Taiwan's Future: Narrowing Straits (NBR Special Report, May 2011)
- China, Taiwan, and the Battle for Latin America, 21p.
- Review of Convergence or Conflict in the Taiwan Strait: The Illusion of Peace? by J. Michael Cole, in Pacific Affairs (2017): 90, 573–575.
External links
[edit]- Taiwan Affairs Office website (PRC government department in charge of relations with Taiwan)
- Mainland Affairs Council website (Taiwan government department in charge of Relations with PRC)
- Taiwan-China-US Relations – March 2010 radio interview with Professor T.Y. Wang (Illinois State University)
- Tim Niven, "The Evolution of China's Interference in Taiwan" The Diplomat, 1 December 2023